[Foss-cafe] Greetings!
Timothy Butler
tbutler at ofb.biz
Tue Nov 28 16:21:07 CST 2006
> I think I was last on the list about a year and a half ago, at which
> point the domain I was using for email expired, and I didn't bother to
> re-subscribe because the list seemed to be on its last legs. How have
> you been holding up since then?
Oh, pretty well, thanks. Just seem to be keeping busy all the time
without accomplishing nearly what I'd like, but... I've been busy
writing a lot with the hope of maybe doing a book one of these days
and OFB has relaunched with a bit more of a general focus -- I'm
trying to bring in commentary on issues outside of computers.
On the computer front, since the last time this list was very
exciting, I also became a full time Mac user...
How about yourself?
> What's needed is for someone to slip some highly controversial
> subjects into the conversation, such as the war in Iraq, and whether
> it was for oil or freedom. Although Bush seems to have settled that
> argument on the midterm campaign trail...
Indeed. Well, for the sake of the list (and not, of course, any
false sense that I love to debate!) let me fan the flames a bit:
I'm going to go with those pundits who see this as a loss primarily
of the Republican/neo-conservative movement of the last few years and
not conservatism in general. I don't think it establishes Iraq as a
warfront for oil, but rather shows Americans were (1) never really
that into the whole idea and (2) have a very limited ability to stick
to things. Remember, the media labeled Iraq a "quagmire" after just
three weeks -- hardly time for a quagmire to form -- and the public
agreed. Americans have short attention spans, and I think that is the
hardest thing in dealing with this. (Along with fairly incompetent
management of the situation over the last few years with the various
abuse cases, etc. The army should pay more so that the soldiers there
would be a bit happier about being there.)
I think I am like a lot of conservatives when I say that I was
willing to back the armed forces in as much as I realized the
inevitability of action (and, supported the overthrow of Saddam,
though more in principle than an overwhelming urge to go get stuck
invading a country), but conceding to the inevitable is not the kind
of feeling you want the "base" of a party to have. This 2006 election
cycle showed the Republicans totally lost touch with the reality that
they needed to energize their base, or rather, bases.
I wrote this last fall on my blog:
"For those, like me, of the Right, we have a serious problem. As the
saying goes, if these are our friends, we hardly need enemies. I
predict a Democratic landslide in 2006, unless we get our collective
acts together."
(October 18, 2005, http://asisaid.com/journal/article/847.html)
I'm not sure how closely you follow the GOP, so I'll go over a few
points that you might already know. The GOP essentially is built of
two minorities that have enough common interests to work together
usually -- the economic libertarians and the social conservatives.
Unlike the *really* extreme right wing social conservatives or the
complete libertarians, the parts that have put the Republicans in
power I think are interested mostly in either economics or morals and
are willing to concede some ground on the other issue. It works well
enough, and there are people like me who fit mostly into both
groups, though I am loyal primarily as a social conservative (though,
to digress, I am at heart more of a libertarian, assuming the ideal
world where government would be weak enough I wouldn't feel the need
to push it in a socially conservative direction since it wouldn't
support social agendas of any political leaning).
Anyway. So, as a free market kind of guy, I'm not excited about the
Republicans at the moment -- they are now the "big government party,"
and though I don't trust the Dems talk of smaller government (since
it doesn't fit with their overall agenda), I think this damaged the
GOP's one major base. Moreover, the wishy-washiness of the
Republicans on issues like cloning, etc., hasn't done much to
energize the social conservative side either. So, I think the
Republicans ended up going for some illusory "moderates" that really
don't exist, or at least not enough to win an election, while leaving
behind the bases that propelled them into power in '94, and helped
for the big wins ten years later in '04. This was worsened by the
close association of the GOP with the USA PATRIOT Act, despite the
fact that people from both parties stupidly supported this bill. Why
the GOP pushed to reup it is beyond me. Really, the election was all
about the stupidity of forgetting what people elected you to do and
not even really trying to lie about it and pretend next time will be
better.
The Democrats went way off to the left (for U.S. politics, at least)
in 2004, but I think you are seeing them at least pretend to be more
moderate right now. The Republicans need to differentiate themselves
from the Dems by going more conservative for 2008 -- not any
extremes, but enough to let the bases know they aren't entirely
forgotten, and give people a clear understanding of why they should
pick the GOP over the Democrats.
>
>> I'm game for trying to revive the list if you are.
>
> By all means. I miss the constant flamewars^W^Winformed discussion on
> Free Software, politics, philosophy and job-hunting ;).
Me too. :-)
-Tim
---
Timothy R. Butler | "Because philosophy arises from awe, a philosopher
tbutler at ofb.biz | is bound in his way to be a lover of myths and
www.uninet.info | poetic fables. Poets and philosophers are alike in
timothybutler.us | being big with wonder."
-- Thomas Aquinas
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